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The U.S. central bank slightly lowered its growth projections for 2019. U.S. financial markets were little moved by the data as investors monitored political developments in Washington, where President Donald Trump threatened a “very long” government shutdown just hours ahead of a midnight deadline luxury mens cufflinks uk online. Stocks on Wall Street were mixed in choppy trade, while the dollar rose against a basket of currencies. U.S. Treasury prices were mostly flat. Growth is being driven by the government’s $1.5 trillion tax cut package, which has given consumer spending a jolt. The fiscal stimulus is part of measures adopted by the White House to boost annual growth to 3 percent on a sustainable basis..

But the economy appears to be slowing in the fourth quarter. In a second report on Friday, the Commerce Department said orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, dropped 0.6 percent last month after increasing 0.5 percent in October. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast these so-called core capital goods orders rising 0.2 percent last month. Core capital goods orders advanced 6.5 percent on a year-on-year basis in November luxury mens cufflinks uk online.

Last month’s drop in core capital goods orders added to data on the housing market and trade that have flagged a slowdown in economic growth in the October-December quarter. There were decreases in orders for machinery and for electrical equipment, appliances and components luxury mens cufflinks uk online. Orders for computers and electronic products were unchanged in November. Shipments of core capital goods slipped 0.1 percent in November after jumping 0.8 percent in the prior month. Core capital goods shipments are used to calculate equipment spending in the GDP measurement..

Business spending on equipment grew at its slowest pace in nearly two years in the third quarter luxury mens cufflinks uk online. It has been slowing despite a lower tax bill for corporations. Some companies including Apple used their tax windfall to buy back shares on a massive scale. Spending on equipment could remain sluggish as sinking crude prices reduce demand for oil well drilling equipment. Brent crude fell to a more than one-year low of $52.79 per barrel on Friday amid worries of oversupply. Industry data last week showed domestic energy firms cut oil rigs for a second week..

Economic growth estimates for the fourth quarter are around a 2.7 percent rate. The slowdown in growth is expected to spill over into 2019 as the fiscal stimulus fades and a bitter trade war with China and strong dollar undercut manufacturing. Some regional manufacturing surveys have weakened in December. “The drop in the more sentiment-driven headlines as well as the soft reading on actual orders sparks some concerns, and raises the possibility that trade tensions and slowing global growth are beginning to weigh on activity here in the United States,” said Sarah House, a senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities in Charlotte, North Carolina luxury mens cufflinks uk online.