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In a commentary accompanying the latest data, the NBS said China’s exports and imports faced growing downward pressure with increasing uncertainty stemming from trade frictions. Even if a trade ceasefire is reached, the latest data suggested China’s economy will continue to weaken in coming months, with new orders faltering both at home and abroad cheap cufflinks near me uk online. The new orders sub-index — an indicator of future activity — declined to 50.4 from 50.8, with export orders shrinking for a sixth straight month..
Reflecting growing concerns over domestic demand, Chinese factories continued to cut back on their import orders for foreign goods last month. Production growth remained modest but was slightly weaker than in October. Adding to pressure on manufacturers, factory-gate prices fell sharply amid softer demand, hurting profitability for sectors from petroleum processing to ferrous metal smelting. The factory-gate price sub-index pointed to a contraction for the first time since March cheap cufflinks near me uk online. Profit growth for China’s industrial powerhouses cooled for a sixth straight month in October..
A sister survey released by the NBS on Friday showed growth in China’s service sector moderated in November, but remained at solid levels. That is likely to cushion China’s slowdown somewhat, as services account for more than half of the economy cheap cufflinks near me uk online. The official non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dipped to 53.4 from 53.9 the previous month, with overall business confidence falling to 54.2 from 56.4 in October. China’s policymakers are widely expected to launch more policy support and stimulus measures in coming months if domestic and external conditions continue to deteriorate and earlier steps prove slower-than-expected to kick in..
The central bank has slashed banks’ reserve requirements four times already this year to free up more money to lend to struggling firms, with more cuts expected soon. Economists at ING forecast the central bank will cut banks’ reserve requirement ratios (RRR) every quarter in 2019 to save private firms and avoid major job losses, if the trade war with the United States continues to escalate cheap cufflinks near me uk online. In recent weeks, speculation has also swirled over whether China may be considering its first benchmark interest rate cut in three years to give a more forceful push to activity, though that would risk adding to a mountain of debt and pressure the yuan currency..
Capital Economics, which has long predicted a benchmark rate cut, recently forecast China’s central bank will start cutting the reverse repo rate in coming weeks to support growth. “For now, the official PMIs suggest that policy easing is still struggling to put a floor beneath growth,” the consultancy wrote in a note. Friday’s survey for the services sector also showed cooling momentum in the construction sector, which the NBS attributed to colder weather cheap cufflinks near me uk online. Regulators have been fast tracking infrastructure approvals to lift investment growth from record lows, but analysts say funding remains a concern and the moves may not put a floor under economic growth until the middle of next year..