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Lower profit expectations, slower economic growth and higher interest rates probably did for the decade-long bullrun. To be sure, the U.S. economy is still growing at a decent pace. But when bears creep into high-growth, investor-darling tech stocks, it’s a clear sign that optimism about growth is fizzling. Possibly too, moves in higher-profile indices such as the Nasdaq index – itself about to be swallowed by the bears – have overshadowed other segments of the U.S. market. For instance, the Russell 2000 small-cap index has entered the bears’ lair and this seep into small-caps is of concern, given these companies often carry higher debt loads than their larger peers 18k rose gold cufflinks uk online. So falling share prices highlight their credit risk, an issue we will hear more of in 2019..
– After Fed selloff, is a U.S. bear market next?. – Nasdaq drop leaves it just shy of bear market. – ANALYSIS-How bears are taking over world stock markets. tmsnrt.rs/2QCzyvm. As 2018 fades, Japanese policymakers’ hearts must be sinking. The yen has zoomed to 8-month highs versus the dollar, stocks have sunk into bear territory and weaker-than-expected price growth data shows disinflationary clouds gathering – yet again. By all accounts, Japanese funds are retreating from U.S. equity and bond investments, driven out by prohibitive hedging costs 18k rose gold cufflinks uk online. That along with an inflow of safety-seeking foreign cash could lift the yen further. So any dreams the BOJ might harbor of ending stimulus are receding further into the future..
Here’s a thought though. Could the yen’s safe-haven status come under doubt? After all Japan’s export-focused economy is highly vulnerable to a trade war, and an upcoming sales tax hike rekindles memories of 2014, when a similar tax increase hurt the economy. And notwithstanding dovish BOJ signals, officials privately acknowledge the demerits of prolonged easing, notably the hit financial institutions are taking from negative interest rates. BOJ sets high bar on stimulus despite Kuroda’s dovish language 18k rose gold cufflinks uk online.
Japan bond yields fall deeper into negative as domestic, foreign money rushes in – 18k rose gold cufflinks uk online. Japan’s Cabinet approves record $900 bln budget, aims to soften sales tax blow –. tmsnrt.rs/2S8LwOk. Investors are back in love with Italy, where a budget deal with the EU has allowed 10-year bond yields to fall more than 40 bps this month – the biggest monthly move down since July 2015. Their love will be put to the test next month though, when Italy will call on fund managers to buy its new bonds – 27 billion euros’ worth..
January will be Italy’s heaviest month for bond sales in 2019. Sure, sales are typically heavy at the start of a year, but the difference this time is that the ECB will not be buying. It will reinvest the proceeds of maturing debt but has allocated a smaller share of the pie to Rome next year 18k rose gold cufflinks uk online. In total next year, Italy hopes to sell bonds worth 250-260 billion euros. So will private creditors step into the breach? There are some doubts; after all, local mom-and-pop investors gave the cold shoulder to a specially targeted retail bond last month. With the ECB backstop fading, a weak economy and still-high political risk, Italy may find it still needs to woo its investors if it is to stay afloat next year..